TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 11:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marija Semenistaja and kimia sagheb tehrani in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 10:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marija Semenistaja' if Marija Semenistaja advances against kimia sagheb tehrani. This market will resolve to 'kimia sagheb tehrani' if kimia sagheb tehrani advances against Marija Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marija Semenistaja and kimia sagheb tehrani in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 10:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marija Semenistaja' if Marija Semenistaja advances against kimia sagheb tehrani. This market will resolve to 'kimia sagheb tehrani' if kimia sagheb tehrani advances against Marija Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading process where participants buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The current top outcome chance reflects the aggregated bets and positions of all traders on the platform. As new information emerges — such as player injuries, weather updates, or recent form — the market price adjusts dynamically based on demand and supply for each outcome, capturing the real-time sentiment of Polymarket users.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting which player wins the W15 Monastir tournament match. Once the match finalizes and the winner is officially announced, the market will settle accordingly based on public records and verified sources, closing all open positions and paying out successful traders.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including last-minute player injuries, changes to the match schedule, or significant performance updates from recent practice sessions. Weather conditions or court surface changes might also impact trader sentiment. Any news affecting player confidence or form — such as a strong win in a lead-up tournament or a surprising loss — may cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket as traders reassess the likelihood of each outcome.