TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kseniia Ruchkina and Kayla Lorrimer in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kseniia Ruchkina' if Kseniia Ruchkina advances against Kayla Lorrimer. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Lorrimer' if Kayla Lorrimer advances against Kseniia Ruchkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kseniia Ruchkina and Kayla Lorrimer in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kseniia Ruchkina' if Kseniia Ruchkina advances against Kayla Lorrimer. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Lorrimer' if Kayla Lorrimer advances against Kseniia Ruchkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, whereas this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, traditional sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market, constantly adjusting based on new information and sentiment surrounding the Ruchkina vs Lorrimer match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ruchkina vs Lorrimer match as reported by the governing tennis body. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 28, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching staff could all shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player might also impact sentiment. Even seemingly minor developments, such as weather conditions or crowd support, could be factored into traders’ assessments. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Ruchkina vs Lorrimer match has the potential to move this market significantly.