TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 6:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kseniia Ruchkina and Eloise Newberry in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kseniia Ruchkina' if Kseniia Ruchkina advances against Eloise Newberry. This market will resolve to 'Eloise Newberry' if Eloise Newberry advances against Kseniia Ruchkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kseniia Ruchkina and Eloise Newberry in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kseniia Ruchkina' if Kseniia Ruchkina advances against Eloise Newberry. This market will resolve to 'Eloise Newberry' if Eloise Newberry advances against Kseniia Ruchkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares adjusts accordingly, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of a particular result in the Ruchkina vs Newberry match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir match between Kseniia Ruchkina and Eloise Newberry. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Kseniia Ruchkina or Eloise Newberry could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the tournament itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in expectations, causing the price to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.