TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 1:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarah Ye and Anna Kubareva in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Ye' if Sarah Ye advances against Anna Kubareva. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kubareva' if Anna Kubareva advances against Sarah Ye. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarah Ye and Anna Kubareva in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Ye' if Sarah Ye advances against Anna Kubareva. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kubareva' if Anna Kubareva advances against Sarah Ye. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If significant differences emerge between this market and sportsbook odds, it could signal that traders possess unique insights or have access to information not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s always valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changes in sentiment surrounding the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Sarah Ye and Anna Kubareva, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.