TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 5:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Paola Lopez and Melina Maria Maruca in the W15 Luján, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paola Lopez' if Paola Lopez advances against Melina Maria Maruca. This market will resolve to 'Melina Maria Maruca' if Melina Maria Maruca advances against Paola Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paola Lopez and Melina Maria Maruca in the W15 Luján, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paola Lopez' if Paola Lopez advances against Melina Maria Maruca. This market will resolve to 'Melina Maria Maruca' if Melina Maria Maruca advances against Paola Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks. The current top outcome reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, with liquidity depth influencing how quickly prices adjust. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or weather updates — the market price can shift rapidly based on trading activity and volume.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will finalize the market based on that verified data. Timing depends on when official results are announced post-match, ensuring transparency and accuracy for all participants.
Several signals could impact this market before it resolves, including player form leading up to the match, any last-minute injuries or lineup changes, and even weather conditions on match day. Media coverage and expert analysis may also shift trader sentiment. As the event draws closer, any new information that affects the perceived likelihood of each outcome can cause rapid price adjustments on the market.