TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 11:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thea Marcu and Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru in the W15 Brasov, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thea Marcu' if Thea Marcu advances against Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru. This market will resolve to 'Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru' if Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru advances against Thea Marcu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thea Marcu and Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru in the W15 Brasov, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thea Marcu' if Thea Marcu advances against Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru. This market will resolve to 'Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru' if Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru advances against Thea Marcu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each player winning the Brasov tennis match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Brasov tennis match between Thea Marcu and Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will be the winning outcome for this market, and shares will be settled accordingly. Any potential delays in official reporting could affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. News regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament venue could also shift expectations. Additionally, large trades on Polymarket itself can create price swings, especially if they represent informed bets from traders with strong convictions about the match's outcome. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to changes in this market’s pricing.