TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
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Completed Match - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 7:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Catarina Melleiro and Julia Konishi Camargo Silva in the W15 Belem, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Catarina Melleiro' if Catarina Melleiro advances against Julia Konishi Camargo Silva. This market will resolve to 'Julia Konishi Camargo Silva' if Julia Konishi Camargo Silva advances against Catarina Melleiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Catarina Melleiro and Julia Konishi Camargo Silva in the W15 Belem, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Catarina Melleiro' if Catarina Melleiro advances against Julia Konishi Camargo Silva. This market will resolve to 'Julia Konishi Camargo Silva' if Julia Konishi Camargo Silva advances against Catarina Melleiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of market participation. If there's a significant difference, it might suggest that the crowd believes a sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular player winning the Belem tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Belem tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Belem tennis match between Catarina Melleiro and Julia Konishi Camargo Silva. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available data from recognized tennis authorities. The outcome will be determined by the official match result, confirming which player secured victory in this contest.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 30, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact perceptions of the players' chances. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants or large-scale shifts in public opinion could drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match’s conclusion.