TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Venezia FC vs. Calcio Padova
Volume:
$154,002
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Serie B soccer match between Venezia FC and Calcio Padova scheduled for March 17, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Venezia win, Padova win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market logic is fundamentally broken: all three outcome conditions resolve to Yes, making the market non-falsifiable and unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets with coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market—it contains a logical contradiction that makes it unresolvable. Rely exclusively on Polymarket's three binary markets (Venezia Win, Padova Win, Draw). All three platforms agree on the match scope (90 min + stoppage, no extra time/penalties) and primary source (official governing body stats within 2 hours, fallback to credible consensus). Verify final score via legaserieb.it.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure claims three separate resolution conditions but all three resolve to Yes: 'If Venezia wins...resolves to Yes. If Padova wins...resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a tautology—the market always resolves Yes regardless of match outcome, rendering it non-predictive and unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Venezia Win (Yes/No), Padova Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Each market has independent resolution logic. Cancellation rule: if game is canceled with no makeup, Venezia and Padova markets resolve No, Draw market resolves Yes. Postponement: markets remain open until completion. Primary source: official governing body stats within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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