TOTAL VOLUME:

$53.9b

24H VOL:

$231,847,320

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,314,157,835

499,417

Markets across

14,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,754

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Valorant: Galions vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

Volume:
$46,965
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between Galions and Nuxeria Esport in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 26 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against Nuxeria Esport. This market will resolve to "Nuxeria Esport" if Nuxeria Esport win the match against Galions. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's match-winner market contains a logical contradiction: both Nuxeria Esport win and Galions win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides mutually exclusive, clear outcomes. Derivative markets (Map 1, Map 2, handicap, total) are unified across platforms.

Hero Tip:

Disregard Kalshi's match-winner market due to logical impossibility. Rely on Polymarket's match-winner resolution (Galions vs Nuxeria Esport, with 50-50 for cancellation/tie/7-day delay). All other markets (Map 1, Map 2, handicap, total maps) share consistent logic: resolve based on vlr.gg within 2 hours of conclusion; 50-50 if match canceled, incomplete, or delayed beyond 7 days; forfeits/walkovers/disqualifications count if match is completed.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Match-winner market states: 'If Nuxeria Esport wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Galions wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical contradiction with no way to distinguish winner from loser. This market is unresolvable as written.
  • Polymarket: Match-winner market clearly specifies: 'resolves to Galions if Galions win' and 'resolves to Nuxeria Esport if Nuxeria Esport win', with explicit 50-50 for cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Mutually exclusive and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

Company

Brand Kit

API & Data Licensing

Methodology

Help Center

Contact

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.