TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega

Volume:
$267,616

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 11:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$144,336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

100 Thieves

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,999
N/A
N/A
$54,034
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Evil Geniuses

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,979
N/A
N/A
$24,506
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between 100 Thieves and Evil Geniuses scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT as part of VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega. Markets span match outcome, map-level results, map handicap, and series length, with resolution sourced primarily from vlr.gg.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match outcome market is logically incoherent, resolving to Yes for both possible match outcomes. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction. Polymarket and other markets use standard binary resolution (team name), which is logically sound.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's match outcome market until the structure is clarified. The Kalshi market as written violates basic binary logic. Use Polymarket's match outcome market as the authoritative binary resolution. Confirm with Kalshi support whether this is a template error or intentional structure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match outcome market resolves to Yes if either Evil Geniuses OR 100 Thieves wins. Both conditions map to the same outcome (Yes), making this logically impossible as a binary market. Quote: 'If Evil Geniuses wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If 100 Thieves wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Match outcome market resolves to team name: '100 Thieves' if 100 Thieves win, 'Evil Geniuses' if Evil Geniuses win. Standard binary resolution with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Evil Geniuses. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win the match.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.