TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds (W)
Volume:
$8,363
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between UT Arlington Mavericks and Southern Utah Thunderbirds scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No resolution (Yes for either team winning), while Polymarket uses categorical resolution (winner name). The underlying game outcome is unified, but the settlement value representation diverges.Hero Tip:
These markets are structurally incompatible despite covering the same game. Kalshi bettors receive Yes payout if the game occurs and completes with any winner. Polymarket bettors receive payout only if their selected team wins. Do not assume arbitrage or hedging opportunities exist between these platforms without accounting for the structural difference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market. Resolves to Yes if either UT Arlington or Southern Utah wins the game. Both possible outcomes map to the same resolution value (Yes).
- Polymarket: Categorical market. Resolves to UT Arlington Mavericks if UT Arlington wins, or Southern Utah Thunderbirds if Southern Utah wins. Each outcome maps to a distinct resolution value (team name).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.