TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 6:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by USA and Germany (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 6, 2026, 18:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 6, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official card count issued by the referee during the USA versus Germany match. The outcome will be YES if the total number of yellow and red cards shown to both teams combined reaches four or more; otherwise it resolves NO. Only cards shown during regular and extra time count; any cards issued after the final whistle do not factor into the resolution. The official match record and referee report serve as the authoritative source for card tallies.
Key signals include team lineups and injury reports, which may force defensive changes and alter playing style. Referee assignment is critical—different officials have varying card-issuing tendencies. Recent form and disciplinary records of key players matter significantly. Tactical adjustments, such as aggressive pressing or defensive fouling, can increase card risk. Weather conditions and pitch quality may influence physicality. Pre-match news about suspensions, feuds, or high stakes can shift market expectations. As the match approaches, live betting sentiment and late-breaking team news will likely drive price movement on Limitless.