TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group covers various markets related to the Serie A match between US Sassuolo Calcio and Juventus FC, including spreads, over/under goals, and both teams to score. Markets span both the full match and the first/second halves.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 13 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 13 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from the spread, while prediction markets incentivize accurate predictions through financial rewards. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news and injuries, prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information as it becomes available, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism for the Sassuolo vs. Juventus match.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on this market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket may have a higher concentration of experienced football traders, while Predict might be more susceptible to broader market sentiment. This market’s differing prices also reflect the current top outcomes: Polymarket currently favors 1st Half Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) at 99%, while Predict leans toward Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5).