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404,744

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UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca?

Volume:
$1,735,293

Pavel Andrusca

 - Kalshi

Pavel Andrusca - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 2:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pavel Andrusca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$821,450
N/A
N/A
$485,540
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
9¢
N/A
$6,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$2,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nathaniel Wood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$641,828
N/A
N/A
$418,681
Settled
No
polymarket

Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca

View
0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Andrusca to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wood to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wood in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Andrusca in Round 2

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Andrusca in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Andrusca in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wood in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wood in Round 1

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 21

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC Fight Night bout between Nathaniel Wood and Pavel Andrusca, scheduled for September 5, 2026, will conclude with a decision or draw. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 100.0% for this outcome, based on aggregation of those platforms. Resolution will be determined using Official UFC information (e.g., UFC.com). Keep an eye on the official weigh-in results on September 4, 2026, as any last-minute changes could influence the fight’s dynamic and potential path to a decision.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms rely on official UFC information for resolution, with a consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, draws, and disqualifications.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC information (e.g., UFC.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • The primary resolution criteria is the official result declared by the UFC.
  • Postponement or cancellation beyond September 19, 2026, results in a '50-50' resolution for all markets.
  • Draws, No Contests, and disqualifications generally resolve to 'No' for method of victory markets and may resolve to '50-50' or 'No' for win markets.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Technical Decision/Draw: A technical decision or technical draw will resolve 'No' for 'Fight to Go the Distance?' and 'Will the fight be won by decision?' markets, while a draw decided by judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds resolves 'Yes' for 'Fight to Go the Distance?'.
  • Stoppage Between Rounds: A stoppage between rounds counts as ending in the round that has just been completed.
Timing: Resolution will occur immediately following the official announcement of the fight result by the UFC, but no later than September 19, 2026, if the fight is postponed or canceled.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Nathaniel Wood" if Nathaniel Wood is officially declared the winner of the fight against Pavel Andrusca at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Pavel Andrusca" if Pavel Andrusca is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Nathaniel Wood wins the Wood vs Andrusca professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pavel Andrusca wins the Wood vs Andrusca professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probabilities of various outcomes for the Wood vs. Andrusca fight. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of a Nathaniel Wood victory, with a combined volume of $1,735,293. Traders on both platforms are expressing their predictions through real-money bets, creating a dynamic and aggregated forecast. The 24-hour volume is $1,398,998, showing continued interest in this matchup. This allows for a collective intelligence assessment of the fight's potential results.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse set of bettors who are incentivized to be accurate. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more insightful probabilities, particularly when there's disagreement or uncertainty. It's common to see differences in the implied probabilities, and these discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.