TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
polymarket

Who will win Bruno Lopes vs Diyar Nurgozhay?

Volume:
$369,051

Fight won by KO/TKO?

 - Polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 7:42 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nurgozhay to win by KO/TKO?

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$334,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$931
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lopes to win by KO/TKO?

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve to "Bruno Lopes" if Bruno Lopes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Diyar Nurgozhay at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Diyar Nurgozhay" if Diyar Nurgozhay is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Bruno Lopes" if Bruno Lopes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Diyar Nurgozhay at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Diyar Nurgozhay" if Diyar Nurgozhay is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the UFC Lopes vs. Nurgozhay fight market on Polymarket tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume changes. It provides a live view of how traders are positioning around the likelihood of various outcomes in this fight. You can monitor how the market evolves as new information surfaces, including fighter updates, training progress, and any last-minute changes. The display includes current top outcome probabilities and overall volume of $368,715, helping users see where the collective intelligence stands.

This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration following the bout’s conclusion, and the market updates to reflect whether the fight ends inside the distance or goes the full rounds. No further interpretation is needed beyond the publicly confirmed result.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it settles. Key events include pre-fight media appearances, training updates or injuries, changes in betting volumes on either side, and any last-minute coaching strategies that affect perceived fight dynamics. Significant news about either fighter’s condition or performance expectations can cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their positions based on new information.