TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:55 PM EST
Kalshi
A group of attacking players from a national team compete in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with outcomes tracked at successive goal thresholds ranging from low to moderate scoring contributions.
Resolution is determined by the total goals scored by Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo, and Justin Kluivert combined during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals count if scored during regulation time, stoppage time, or extra time. Goals scored during penalty shootouts are excluded from the tally. Each threshold (2+, 3+, 4+, 5+, 6+, 7+, 8+, or 9+ combined goals) represents a separate market outcome.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed betting lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust less frequently and may apply wider margins. The Tournament Goals: Memphis + Gakpo + Kluivert market aggregates beliefs from many independent traders, potentially offering sharper pricing than a single sportsbook. However, sportsbooks may have superior access to injury reports or team-sheet information at certain moments. Comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the prediction market is pricing this outcome more optimistically or conservatively than traditional bookmakers.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The Tournament Goals: Memphis + Gakpo + Kluivert contract on Kalshi is priced as a binary outcome, where traders buy or sell shares representing belief in whether all three players will score during the tournament. The price reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders on that platform. Kalshi's order-book mechanism allows continuous price discovery; as new information emerges—such as lineup confirmations, injuries, or match results—traders adjust bids and asks accordingly. The current market price directly translates to an implied probability that guides both retail and professional participants in sizing their positions.
The Tournament Goals: Memphis + Gakpo + Kluivert market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether all three named players—Memphis, Gakpo, and Kluivert—score at least one goal each during the specified tournament window. The outcome depends on official match records and goal attribution as recorded by the tournament governing body. Traders should monitor team sheets, injury updates, and fixture schedules leading up to the resolution date to assess the likelihood of each player reaching the goal threshold.
Several catalysts could shift the market price for Tournament Goals: Memphis + Gakpo + Kluivert before Jul 20, 2026. Injury announcements affecting any of the three players would immediately reprrice the outcome downward. Team lineup changes, managerial decisions, or fixture rescheduling could alter playing time expectations. Early tournament results showing strong or weak offensive form by Memphis, Gakpo, or Kluivert will influence trader confidence. Opponent strength and defensive quality in upcoming matches matter significantly. Additionally, any official tournament rule changes or clarifications about goal eligibility could trigger repricing. Real-time match performance during group stages will be the most powerful driver of price movement.