TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which television show tops Netflix's US rankings in a specific week, reflecting viewer preferences and streaming trends. The outcome depends entirely on audience engagement and viewing habits during the specified period.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on October 27, 2026, which reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. Markets close at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart publication, ensuring all bets are settled according to the final chart ranking. Each market corresponds to a specific show, with resolution contingent on that show claiming the number one position. No endorsement or affiliation exists between Netflix and the hosting platform; references to Netflix are purely descriptive. The consistency across all rules ensures uniform evaluation, with each outcome determined solely by the public chart's weekly update cycle.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, revealing different perspectives on which show will be the most popular on US Netflix. While analysts rely on historical data, streaming trends, and critical reception, this market incorporates real-time sentiment and a broader range of information from a diverse group of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as the market may anticipate shifts in viewership that haven't yet been reflected in conventional analysis. It’s common to see the market adjust rapidly to news or events that analysts might be slower to incorporate into their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The show with the highest total viewership on US Netflix during the specified week will be considered the winner. Resolution will be based on publicly available data from Netflix or a reputable third-party source tracking streaming viewership. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome. The determination will be made based on the most widely accepted measure of viewership for that period.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. A surprise renewal or cancellation of a popular show, a major marketing push for a new series, or unexpected critical acclaim could all shift trader sentiment. Positive or negative buzz on social media, particularly regarding trending shows, could also influence the odds. Furthermore, the release of trailers or sneak peeks for upcoming content could generate excitement and impact trading activity. Any significant news related to Netflix’s programming or viewership trends has the potential to cause fluctuations in this market.
