TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which television show or film reaches the highest position on Netflix's US streaming charts for a specific week. Participants speculate on whether particular titles will dominate viewer preferences during that period, reflecting broader trends in audience engagement and content popularity.
Kalshi
Each market resolves based on whether the specified show appears in the top position of the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on October 6, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data from the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's release. No endorsement or affiliation exists between Netflix and the market operator; references to Netflix are used descriptively only. All markets share identical secondary rules governing timing and disclaimer language.
Frequently asked questions
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on qualitative assessments and historical data, this market reflects the collective judgment of a diverse group of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of available information, or from traders possessing unique insights. It’s common to see this market anticipate outcomes that diverge from initial expert predictions, especially as new information becomes available. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise in understanding different forms of forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the show with the highest total viewing hours in the US on Netflix for the tracked week will be considered the winner. The data used to determine the outcome will be sourced from publicly available viewership statistics released by Netflix or a reputable third-party data provider. The resolution will be based on official numbers and not on estimates or projections.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Unexpected releases of new episodes or seasons of popular shows could shift viewership dramatically. Major media coverage or social media buzz surrounding a particular series could also drive increased viewing. Additionally, any announcements from Netflix regarding viewership numbers or content strategy could impact trader sentiment. Finally, the release of competing content on other streaming platforms might draw viewers away from Netflix, affecting the relative popularity of shows within this market.
