TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which television show achieves the highest viewership globally on Netflix during a specific week. Participants speculate on whether particular series will lead the platform's rankings, reflecting viewer preferences and trends in streaming entertainment.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its designated show occupies the top position on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart published on October 6, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data from the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's release. All markets explicitly state that neither Netflix nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to Netflix are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on qualitative assessments and industry knowledge, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and potential outcomes. Discrepancies can arise from differing assumptions or the market’s ability to rapidly incorporate new information. It’s common to see this market adjust more quickly to unexpected news or shifts in public sentiment compared to slower-moving analyst reports, providing a dynamic view of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the top global Netflix show for the week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on official viewership data released by Netflix or a reputable third-party source tracking global streaming statistics. The outcome will reflect the show with the highest total hours viewed worldwide during the specified period, as reported by these sources. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and not on any subjective assessment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Unexpected releases of new episodes or seasons of popular shows, major marketing campaigns by Netflix, or critical acclaim for a particular series could all shift trader sentiment. Additionally, news regarding subscriber growth or viewing habits in key global markets could influence the perceived likelihood of different shows topping the charts. Social media trends and viral moments related to specific shows also have the potential to move this market as traders react to changing public perception.
