TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Chalre Chalre Waal | Female Version | Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi | Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global viewership on YouTube for a specific day in the future. It reflects the competitive nature of online content popularity, where creators and audiences engage through views and interactions to determine the leading video.
Kalshi
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for October 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video holds the number one position on the specified chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the designated day, with no additional qualifications or adjustments applied.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for this type of event. Unlike political or economic predictions, there aren't widely published, standardized forecasts for which music video will be the most popular on a given day. However, observing trends in music charts, social media engagement, and pre-release hype can provide a baseline for comparison. If analyst predictions consistently diverge from this market’s probabilities, it could indicate an informational advantage for traders or a mispricing opportunity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a particular music video will be the top daily video on YouTube. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The market depth shows the volume available at different price points, giving traders insight into potential liquidity.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official YouTube charts will be used to determine which music video received the most views on October 9, 2026. The market will settle to 100 for the winning video and 0 for all others. Traders should monitor official YouTube announcements and chart data as the resolution date approaches to understand how the outcome is being determined.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Major artist announcements, surprise music video releases from popular artists, viral trends on platforms like TikTok that drive views to specific songs, and significant media coverage could all impact trading activity. Unexpected collaborations or controversies surrounding artists could also shift market sentiment. Any event that dramatically alters public attention and viewing habits has the potential to influence the odds in this market, especially in the days leading up to the resolution date.
