TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count globally on YouTube for a specific day in the future. It reflects the competitive nature of online content popularity, where creators and audiences engage through views and interactions to determine the leading video.
Kalshi
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for October 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video secures the number one position on the chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart data for the specified day, with no additional qualifications or adjustments applied.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on factors like pre-release hype and artist popularity, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, reacting to real-time viewership data and social media trends. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies and the ability of the market to quickly adjust to unexpected developments. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming your own opinion about which music video will ultimately be the most popular.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a specific music video topping the charts. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly efficient and responsive assessment of the potential winner.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official YouTube charts will be used to determine which music video achieved the highest daily view count globally on October 6, 2026. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from YouTube, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning video. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Unexpected viral trends on platforms like TikTok or Instagram could propel a lesser-known artist to the top. Major award show performances or high-profile celebrity endorsements could also boost a video’s viewership. Conversely, controversies surrounding an artist or song could negatively affect its popularity. The release of highly anticipated music videos from major artists in the days leading up to October 6, 2026, will also be a key driver of price movement in this market.
