TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Ramayana: Mangal Rang (Song) | Namit M, Nitesh T | AR Rahman, Arijit Singh, Shreya Ghoshal, Kumar V
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]
Glimpse of DSP Inbaraj (Respectaa) - From Scene | Suriya | Nazriya Nazim |Sushin Shyam|JithuMadhavan
K/DA - FIRESTARTER ft. MIYEON and SOYEON of i-dle, Sophie Powers, Mimi Webb (Official Music Video)
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest daily view count on YouTube globally for a specific date. Participants speculate on whether particular songs will lead the platform's rankings, reflecting anticipated audience engagement and popularity trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the winner based on which specified music video attains the top position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for October 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique music video, and resolution depends solely on that video's ranking. If the designated video secures the number one spot, its respective market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. All markets operate independently, with no cumulative or comparative effects between them. YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to the platform are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates an ability to incorporate information more rapidly than traditional forecasts, as traders react to news and trends in real-time. While analysts may offer reasoned predictions, the wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi can sometimes identify undervalued or overvalued outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly in dynamic fields like music where viral trends can quickly shift the landscape. This difference highlights the unique predictive power of a liquid prediction market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different music videos. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that video being the top daily music video on YouTube on October 30, 2026. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for a particular video’s contract drives its price up, indicating a greater perceived chance of it winning, while lower demand pushes the price down. The market’s depth and volume provide insights into the confidence level surrounding each potential outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official YouTube data for the top daily music video globally on October 30, 2026, as reported by YouTube itself. The video with the highest number of views on that date will be declared the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Major album releases from popular artists, unexpected viral trends on platforms like TikTok, and collaborations between influential musicians are all potential catalysts. News regarding music video premieres, promotional campaigns, and even controversies surrounding artists could also impact trading activity. Shifts in YouTube’s algorithm or changes to its trending video system could also play a role. Unexpected events, such as a major world event impacting entertainment consumption, could also influence which videos gain traction and ultimately affect the outcome of this market.
