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2,403,290,006

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$1,452,035,386

405,032

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30,543

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Tigres de la UANL vs. Club Puebla
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Tigres de la UANL vs Club Puebla?

Volume:
$1,693,248

Tigres

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 1:11 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tigres

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$478,848
N/A
N/A
$263,965
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tigres de la UANL

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28,148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Puebla

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$812,452
N/A
N/A
$531,985
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Puebla

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$290,421
N/A
N/A
$195,053
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Tigres de la UANL vs. Club Puebla)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Liga MX soccer match between Tigres de la UANL and Club Puebla on September 26, 2026, forecasting whether Tigres de la UANL will win within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the aggregated probability of Tigres winning is 100.0%, with Club Puebla winning at 0.1%. These probabilities are sourced from Kalshi and Polymarket, and the match result as reported on https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos will determine resolution. Keep an eye on the official Liga MX schedule for confirmation of the September 26th fixture as the key signal for this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket resolves the draw market to 'Yes' if the game is canceled, while Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation.Hero tip: Be aware of the cancellation risk when trading the draw market on Polymarket. A cancellation would benefit 'Yes' holders on Polymarket, but the Kalshi market's resolution is unclear in that scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Draw market resolves 'Yes' if the game is canceled. 'Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".' (Polymarket description)
  • Kalshi: Draw market resolves 'Yes' if the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of cancellation resolution. (Kalshi market rules)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Tigres de la UANL and Club Puebla.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the official result of the Tigres vs Puebla professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Tigres market occurs if Tigres wins in regular time; a 'Yes' for Puebla if Puebla wins in regular time; and a 'Yes' for Tie if the match ends level after regular time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all three outcome markets, ensuring consistency in resolution based on the match's regular-time result or exceptional circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more nuanced view than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and a margin for profit, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences, particularly as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market incorporates real-time sentiment and insights from a diverse range of participants. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on differing valuations.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all impact expectations. Significant media coverage or public sentiment shifts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum and influence prices. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Tigres vs Puebla match is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.