This event group covers the Chinese Super League match between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shandong Taishan FC scheduled for April 21, 2026. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Tianjin win, draw, Shandong win), while Kalshi offers a single three-outcome market covering all possible results within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Both platforms resolve based on official CSL statistics or credible consensus reporting if official data is unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 21, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Chinese Super League (CSL) governing body or event organizers, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves YES if Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
Market resolves YES if Shandong Taishan FC wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
Exactly ONE of the three outcome markets (Tianjin win, draw, Shandong win) will resolve YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Tianjin win and Shandong win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the outcome of the completed match, regardless of delay.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES while both team-win markets resolve NO. This asymmetry reflects the cancellation as a non-result.
Resolution Timing and Source Hierarchy: Official CSL statistics are the primary resolution source. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as a fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by the Chinese Super League governing body or event organizers, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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