TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Jul 24, 2026, 7:50 PM EST - Sep 30, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$70,280
Volume 24h:
$119
91%
Liquidity:
$18,725
8%
Open interest:
$8,148N/A

Alibaba

 - Polymarket

Alibaba - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Time left: 01d:04h:13m

Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

94%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 97.8¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 94% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% High Projected APY: 5,599% Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Alibaba

Trade
94%
1%
Yes 97.8¢No 9.8¢
7.6¢
$243
$21,040
0.45%
38%
N/A
1d 4h 13m
active
polymarket

Moonshot

4%
Yes 6.5¢No 98.6¢
5.1¢
$461
$14,695
0%
30%
N/A
1d 4h 13m
active
polymarket

ByteDance

1%
Yes 1.6¢No 99¢
0.6¢
$887
$3,140
0.61%
188%
N/A
16h 14m
active
polymarket

OpenAI

1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.7¢
1¢
$1,414
$4,340
0.12%
88%
N/A
16h 14m
active
polymarket

Anthropic

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,376
$4,941
0%
24%
N/A
1d 4h 13m
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,084
$4,536
0%
34%
N/A
16h 14m
active
polymarket

Google

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$929
$2,763
0%
107%
N/A
1d 4h 13m
active
polymarket

Meta

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$983
$2,554
0%
79%
N/A
16h 14m
active
polymarket

Z.ai

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,261
$2,284
0%
35%
N/A
16h 14m
active
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,132
$2,116
0%
71%
N/A
16h 14m
active
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,156
$1,886
0%
227%
N/A
16h 14m
active
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,568
$1,468
0%
34%
N/A
16h 14m
active
polymarket

Thinky

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,631
$1,384
0%
33%
N/A
16h 14m
active
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,426
$1,294
0%
17%
N/A
1d 4h 13m
active
polymarket

Poolside

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,530
$1,061
0%
6%
N/A
16h 14m
active
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,645
$779
0%
0%
N/A
16h 14m
active
Total markets: 16

Description

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reveal different expectations about the third-place finisher. While analysts may rely on historical performance or qualitative assessments, traders on Polymarket price in a broader set of factors including recent lab updates and team announcements. The current top outcome holds a 94.0% chance, which may diverge from or align with expert rankings depending on new information.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the likelihood of each team finishing third-best in the Code Arena WebDev AI Lab by the end of September. The current pricing reflects the aggregate view of all participants, with the highest-priced outcome at 94.0%. Volume of $70,280 shows overall interest in this market.

This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final Code Arena WebDev AI Lab rankings are officially published and independently verifiable. The third-best finishing team will be determined by the lab’s official results, and the market will settle based on that verified ranking.

Several signals could shift this market before Oct 1, 2026. Key updates such as lab challenge results, team announcements, or performance reviews may sway trader sentiment. Any sudden changes in team dynamics or public statements from Code Arena organizers could also cause rapid price movements. Additionally, increased trading volume around these events often precedes notable shifts in odds.