TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks The Weeknd's performance on YouTube over a specific week, focusing on whether his daily view counts surpass various thresholds. It reflects the public's engagement with his content through view metrics during a defined period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for The Weeknd's Global daily YouTube views from October 5 to October 11, 2026. For each threshold (ranging from above 12 million to above 25 million views), if The Weeknd achieves that specific level at any point during the week, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All markets use view counts displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with the understanding that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products. The structure allows participants to bet on the likelihood of The Weeknd reaching various levels of viewership success during the specified timeframe.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Often, this market reflects a broader range of factors than traditional analysis, incorporating real-time information and diverse perspectives. If analysts predict a certain daily view count range for The Weeknd, it’s insightful to see whether traders on Kalshi assign higher or lower probabilities to those outcomes. Discrepancies can highlight overlooked variables or differing interpretations of available data, offering a more nuanced understanding of potential results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market operates using a decentralized mechanism, meaning prices are determined solely by supply and demand from traders, not by any external factors or predetermined values. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of potential outcomes for The Weeknd’s daily views.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for The Weeknd across all platforms (e.g., YouTube, Spotify) between October 5, 2026, and October 11, 2026, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and verified against credible sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any major announcements regarding The Weeknd's new music releases, promotional activities, or collaborations could drive increased viewership. Unexpected viral trends featuring his music or appearances could also lead to a surge in daily views. Furthermore, significant changes in platform algorithms (like YouTube or Spotify) that affect content visibility could influence the outcome. Positive or negative media coverage, and the overall public sentiment towards The Weeknd, are also factors that traders will likely consider when adjusting their positions.
