TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score reflects aggregated critic reviews for films, serving as a gauge of critical reception. Higher scores indicate stronger approval from reviewers, while lower scores suggest more mixed or negative feedback. These markets focus on predicting whether a specific film will achieve various score thresholds.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on The Only Living Pickpocket in New York's Tomatometer score as reported by Rotten Tomatoes on November 2, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the film's score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Scores are evaluated the Monday following the film's wide release. Note that 'Fresh!' and 'Certified Fresh!' labels are illustrative and do not affect resolution—only the numerical score matters. All markets are independent, with distinct thresholds ranging from above 45 to above 99. Neither these markets nor their products are endorsed by Rotten Tomatoes, and any references to the platform are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds represent a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for the Rotten Tomatoes score of 'The Only Living Pickpocket in New York'. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges based on critical reception and genre expectations, this market reflects the collective judgment of traders who are actively putting capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates a different outcome than conventional wisdom suggests, or where traders perceive mispricing opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders can buy and sell contracts representing different Rotten Tomatoes score ranges for 'The Only Living Pickpocket in New York'. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that score range occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the film's potential critical reception.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Rotten Tomatoes score for 'The Only Living Pickpocket in New York' is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by Rotten Tomatoes, will determine which contracts payout and at what value. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the score is finalized and confirmed, allowing for a clear determination of winning and losing positions.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Early reviews from prominent film critics will be a major catalyst, as they provide initial indications of the film’s critical reception. Positive buzz from film festivals or pre-release screenings could also drive up the odds for higher score ranges. Conversely, negative early reactions or reports of poor quality could lower expectations and shift the market towards lower scores. Any significant media coverage or public discussion surrounding the film could also influence trading activity and price movements in this market.
