TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Above 25
- Kalshi
Above 25 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
The Mongoose Rotten Tomatoes score?
$
Intro
This market tracks whether the film *The Mongoose* will achieve a Rotten Tomatoes score above 50%. Currently, the “Yes” outcome—that the film *will* receive a score above 50%—is trading at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the Tomatometer score on Rotten Tomatoes as of November 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, as detailed in the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the film’s initial reviews following its release, as the Tomatometer score will be finalized on November 2, 2026, which marks the end of the betting period for this market.
Kalshi
The markets evaluate whether the film The Mongoose achieves specific Tomatometer score thresholds on November 2, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold, ranging from above 45 to above 90. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' the film's Tomatometer score must strictly exceed the designated threshold on the specified date. For instance, a score of 75 would not satisfy the 'Above 75' market, as the score must be strictly above the threshold. All markets are determined on the Monday following the film's wide release. It is important to note that Rotten Tomatoes has not endorsed these markets, and any references to the platform are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the predictions in this market to traditional analyst forecasts. While many film critics and industry experts offer predictions about a movie's success, these are often qualitative assessments rather than quantifiable probabilities. This market provides a concrete, numerical representation of collective belief about the Mongoose Rotten Tomatoes score, offering a different perspective than typical pre-release reviews and box office projections. It will be interesting to see how the final outcome aligns with both the prediction market and expert opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible Rotten Tomatoes scores for The Mongoose. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the prices adjust, providing a real-time indication of expectations. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the eventual Rotten Tomatoes score.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Rotten Tomatoes score for The Mongoose is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by Rotten Tomatoes, will determine the winning contract in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the outcome. The resolution process relies on a widely recognized and trusted source for film criticism and audience scores.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market before Nov 2, 2026. Early reviews from film festivals or pre-release screenings will likely have a significant impact. Positive buzz and strong word-of-mouth could drive up the probability of a higher Rotten Tomatoes score, while negative reactions could lower it. Marketing campaigns, trailer releases, and any controversies surrounding the film could also shift trader sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the film's quality and reception has the potential to move this market.
