TOTAL VOLUME:

$117.2b

24H VOL:

$93,139,044

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,184,366,585

342,363

Markets across

34,540

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,573

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 25 of 53

Intro

This market tracks which team will win The International 2026, a major Dota 2 esports tournament. The current aggregated consensus probability for Team Spirit winning stands at 99.0%. Data is drawn from Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi, and Opinion, with resolution based on official information from Dotabuff. The final determination will be made by September 7, 2026, marking the official end of the betting period, and any unresolved outcomes after this date will default to the “Other” option according to the market rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve based on the official winner of The International 2026, with consistent tie-breaking and deadline rulesPrimary resolution logic: Official information from Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the team that wins 1st place at The International 2026 tournament
  • In the event of a tie, the market resolves to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically
  • If the winner is not determined by September 6, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" or equivalent options

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie Resolution: If two or more teams tie for first place, the market resolves to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically
  • Deadline Miss: If the winner is not determined by September 6, 2026 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent options depending on platform specifics
Timing: Resolution occurs after the tournament concludes but no later than September 6, 2026 11:59 PM ETOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at The International 2026 tournament, scheduled for August 13, 2026 - August 23, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the winner of The International 2026 is not determined by September 6, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of The International 2026 by resolving to Yes for the specific market corresponding to the team that ultimately claims championship victory. Each market represents a distinct professional esports team competing for the title, with resolution contingent solely on that team's success in the tournament final standings. All markets operate independently, meaning only the market matching the actual champion will resolve positively, while all others will resolve negatively. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all team-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if Natus Vincere (NAVI) qualifies for the playoff stage of the Counter-Strike 2 tournament at Esports World Cup 2026, as shown in the playoffs bracket/section on the HLTV.org event page. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." The playoff stage is currently scheduled for August 19–23, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV Esports World Cup 2026 event page: https://www.hltv.org/events/8261/esports-world-cup-2026 If the Counter-Strike 2 tournament at Esports World Cup 2026 is postponed or rescheduled, this market will remain open until the playoff teams are listed on HLTV, but no later than September 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC. If the playoff teams are not listed by that time, this market will resolve to "NO." If the Counter-Strike 2 tournament at Esports World Cup 2026 is canceled before the playoff teams are listed on HLTV, this market will resolve to "NO."

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at The International 2026 tournament, scheduled for August 13, 2026 - August 23, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the winner of The International 2026 is not determined by September 6, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the International 2026 winner market aggregates activity across multiple platforms, showing total volume of $3,549,875 and 24-hour volume of $1,155,807. It visualizes how traders on different venues price the likelihood of each team lifting the trophy, offering a consensus view of market sentiment as the tournament approaches.

This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be determined by official tournament results, and all platforms will update to reflect the same settled value. Traders should monitor announcements leading up to the event, as any shifts in team performance or tournament dynamics can affect final confirmation timelines.