TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.1b

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,582,520,465

479,046

Markets across

37,121

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner
kalshi
polymarket

FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner

Volume:
$192,160,479

Michael Thorbjornsen

 - Kalshi

Michael Thorbjornsen - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 6:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michael Thorbjornsen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,662,900
N/A
N/A
$3,622,676
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Scottie Scheffler

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$30,933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cameron Young

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,775,439
N/A
N/A
$4,585,477
Settled
No
polymarket

Cameron Young

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Xander Schauffele

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,999,055
N/A
N/A
$2,853,148
Settled
No
polymarket

Xander Schauffele

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Davis Riley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,851,125
N/A
N/A
$3,457,741
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Brennan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,520,038
N/A
N/A
$2,992,356
Settled
No
kalshi

Rickie Fowler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,784,104
N/A
N/A
$3,310,327
Settled
No
kalshi

Rasmus Højgaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,691,835
N/A
N/A
$2,245,436
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Koivun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,682,910
N/A
N/A
$4,080,052
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Kirk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,246,428
N/A
N/A
$2,435,550
Settled
No
kalshi

John Parry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,937,951
N/A
N/A
$3,782,665
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Cantlay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,745,009
N/A
N/A
$2,531,940
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,386,657
N/A
N/A
$2,020,760
Settled
No
kalshi

Peter Malnati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,255,878
N/A
N/A
$2,813,263
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Dalke

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,174,615
N/A
N/A
$3,128,942
Settled
No
kalshi

Si Woo Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,113,946
N/A
N/A
$2,172,126
Settled
No
polymarket

Si Woo Kim

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Gerard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,020,685
N/A
N/A
$1,931,373
Settled
No
polymarket

Ryan Gerard

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,421
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Luke Clanton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,835,960
N/A
N/A
$2,398,305
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Knapp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,538,199
N/A
N/A
$2,301,391
Settled
No
polymarket

Jake Knapp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$290,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Spieth

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,521,210
N/A
N/A
$2,275,785
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 262

Description

This group of markets predicts the winner of the 2026 TOUR Championship golf tournament. Markets resolve based on the official winner as determined by PGA Tour rules, with specific handling for listed/unlisted players, withdrawals, and tie scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the official winner of the 2026 TOUR Championship as published by the PGA Tour, with consistent handling of listed/unlisted players, withdrawals, and tie scenarios.Primary resolution logic: PGA Tour official website (https://www.pgatour.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to "Yes" if the specified listed player wins the tournament
  • If an unlisted player wins, Polymarket resolves to "Other"; Kalshi markets resolve to "Yes" only for explicitly listed winners
  • Withdrawals/disqualifications before or during the tournament result in immediate "No" resolution
  • Ties resolved per PGA Tour rules; Polymarket uses alphabetical tiebreaker for listed players
  • If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to "Other"

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Unlisted Winner: Polymarket resolves to "Other"; Kalshi markets resolve to "No" unless the winning player was explicitly listed in that market
  • Tournament Cancellation: Markets resolve per PGA Tour official declaration; if no winner is declared, Polymarket resolves to "Other", Kalshi markets may resolve based on platform-specific rules for cancelled events
  • Postponement: Resolution timing follows PGA Tour official schedule updates; Polymarket's September 15, 2026 deadline applies unless the tournament is officially rescheduled
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official PGA Tour declaration of the tournament winner, with Polymarket imposing a September 15, 2026 deadline for winner announcementOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

If Zachary Bauchou wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christiaan Bezuidenhout wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Akshay Bhatia wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Blanchet wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keegan Bradley wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Brennan wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Bridgeman wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Brown wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brian Campbell wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rafael Campos wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Cantlay wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ricky Castillo wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Chatfield wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke Clanton wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wyndham Clark wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eric Cole wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corey Conners wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pierceson Coody wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trace Crowe wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joel Dahmen wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brad Dalke wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Davis wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jason Day wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zecheng Dou wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrien Dumont De Chassart wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Dunlap wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicolas Echavarria wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Eckroat wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harris English wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If A.J. Ewart wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tony Finau wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Fishburn wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Steven Fisk wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rickie Fowler wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brice Garnett wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Gerard wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Doug Ghim wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Glover wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Gotterup wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max Greyserman wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lanto Griffin wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Griffin wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Emiliano Grillo wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Hall wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Russell Henley wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Garrick Higgo wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Highsmith wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kensei Hirata wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryo Hisatsune wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lee Hodges wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rico Hoey wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Hoge wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Hooks wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billy Horschel wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beau Hossler wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mark Hubbard wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mackenzie Hughes wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Højgaard wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicolai Højgaard wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sungjae Im wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephan Jaeger wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin James wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If William Jennings wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Takumi Kanaya wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeffrey Kang wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Johnny Keefer wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Kim wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Si Woo Kim wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Kirk wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patton Kizzire wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jake Knapp wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooks Koepka wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson Koivun wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Kuchar wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christo Lamprecht wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hank Lebioda wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hao-Tong Li wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Lipsky wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Peter Malnati wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hideki Matsuyama wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stefano Mazzoli wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denny McCarthy wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew McCarty wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max McGreevy wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mac Meissner wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Moore wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If William Mouw wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keita Nakajima wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrew Novak wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pontus Nyholm wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thorbjørn Olesen wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Parry wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthieu Pavon wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Pendrith wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marco Penge wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Phillips wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aldrich Potgieter wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seamus Power wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrew Putnam wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chad Ramey wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Riley wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Rodgers wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Roy wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcelo Rozo wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Ruffels wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrien Saddier wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gordon Sargent wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Xander Schauffele wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Schenk wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matti Schmid wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Neal Shipley wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Webb Simpson wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan L. Smith wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Smotherman wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandt Snedeker wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If J.J. Spaun wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Spieth wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Stevens wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Streelman wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson Suber wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jesper Svensson wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Svensson wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Taylor wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Thompson wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Thorbjornsen wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brendon Todd wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alejandro Tosti wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erik Van Rooyen wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If John VanDerLaan wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kris Ventura wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karl Vilips wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Danny Walker wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Wallace wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vince Whaley wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Wilkes-Krier wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Wise wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Wu wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sudarshan Yellamaraju wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Young wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Yu wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the FedEx Cup winner market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders across Polymarket and Kalshi price the likelihood of each golfer claiming the title. It displays total volume of $192,160,479 and 24-hour volume of $35,574,984, letting users see where consensus forms and spot shifts in expectations throughout the season.

Key signals that could shift this market include major tournament performances, injury updates, changes in player rankings, and course-specific announcements. Any development that alters perceptions of competitiveness — such as a strong showing in playoff events or a sudden withdrawal — may cause rapid re-pricing on both Polymarket and Kalshi as traders react to new information.