TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the streaming performance of a new music release over its first week in the U.S. It evaluates whether the song achieves various listener engagement thresholds, reflecting its immediate popularity among audiences.
Kalshi
The event determines if "The Age Of Everything" by Johnny Marr surpasses specific streaming milestones within the U.S. during the week of October 02-08, 2026. All markets resolve based on data from Luminate’s API, reported at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday following the tracking week. Each market corresponds to a distinct streaming threshold (e.g., 50K, 100K, up to 10M streams). If the song’s total streams for that week exceed the specified threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Luminate serves as the neutral data source and does not influence or endorse market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s important to note that there are no widely available analyst forecasts specifically addressing the first-week viewership of the Age of Everything streams. This makes direct comparison challenging. However, the odds on Kalshi represent the collective wisdom of traders, reflecting their assessment of the likely outcomes based on available information. If pre-stream polls or expert opinions emerge, they can be used to gauge whether the market is aligned with external expectations or if a discrepancy exists, potentially signaling a trading opportunity. The market provides a dynamic alternative to static predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand; higher demand for a particular outcome drives its price up, while increased selling pressure lowers it. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic and evolving price discovery process for the Age of Everything streams.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official viewership numbers for the first week of Age of Everything streams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of unique viewers across all platforms hosting the streams during the designated first week period. The specific metrics used to determine viewership will be publicly available prior to resolution. Traders should monitor official announcements from the Age of Everything team for details on data reporting and verification.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Pre-release marketing campaigns, early reviews, and the involvement of popular streamers or influencers could all shift expectations regarding viewership. Unexpected technical issues during the launch of the streams, or negative press coverage, could also move the market. Any announcements regarding the content of the streams, such as exclusive features or guest appearances, could influence trader sentiment. Monitoring social media trends and news coverage related to the Age of Everything will be crucial for understanding potential market-moving events.
