TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve a notable longest reception during a football game between Tennessee and New York G. Each player's performance is evaluated against a set threshold to determine the outcome.
The event evaluates multiple individual player markets to determine if any participant records a longest reception exceeding their specified yardage threshold in the Tennessee vs New York G game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market is tied to a different player and a unique yardage benchmark. If the designated player achieves a reception longer than their threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. A player must take at least one snap for the market to be evaluated based on performance; if they are active but do not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Penalties that nullify a snap do not affect eligibility once a player has taken at least one snap. The markets operate independently, with each player's achievement assessed separately against their individual criteria.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the views of many informed traders. As more information becomes available, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, the prediction market odds tend to converge towards a more accurate probability assessment. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing market participants and risk appetites. It's common to see this market offer a different perspective than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different players having the longest reception. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that player achieving the longest reception, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular player’s contract will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived chance of success. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official game statistics will be used to determine which player had the longest reception during the Tennessee vs New York game. The player with the longest reception, as recorded in the official game statistics, will be declared the winner of this market. Any ties will be resolved according to the platform’s rules, which are available for review on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would be a major catalyst, potentially shifting probabilities towards other players. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds, could also influence passing strategies and affect which players are likely to have longer receptions. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports about a player’s playing time could also cause shifts in the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or matchups could influence traders’ perceptions and move the odds.