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405,032
Markets across
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Aug 28, 10:28 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points will be scored in the final quarter of a football game between Tampa Bay and Jacksonville. Each market has a different threshold for the total points scored by both teams combined during that specific period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Tampa Bay and Jacksonville during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 28, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points), and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the actual points scored in the 4th quarter, with no consideration given to points from other quarters or overtime. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately against the same game data.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment through dynamic pricing, while sportsbooks use their own models and risk assessments. Prediction markets often adjust faster to new information, capturing real-time shifts in trader confidence. In contrast, sportsbooks may incorporate broader factors like historical performance and public betting trends. The difference in odds can highlight where the market sees value versus where sportsbooks set their lines. For this market, comparing the two can reveal potential discrepancies or confirm consensus views among different types of bettors and traders.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current probability estimate. The platform’s pricing mechanism responds to supply and demand, allowing participants to express their expectations about the game’s 4th quarter scoring. As new data emerges — such as team injuries or recent performance — the market price can shift quickly, reflecting the latest information. The current chance percentage displayed represents the aggregated view of all participants on Kalshi at this moment.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the game, specifically the points scored in the fourth quarter, will determine whether the market settles on the over or under for the total points line.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, weather conditions on game day, changes in coaching strategy, and momentum swings during the first three quarters. Any development that impacts the likely scoring pace in the final quarter can cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the odds on this market closer to resolution.