TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tampa Bay or Detroit will score a run in the first inning of their professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for Yes is 99.0%, with resolution based on the game's official results. The critical moment to watch will be the conclusion of the first inning on August 24, 2026, which will determine the outcome of this market.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Tampa Bay vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in nuances not captured by standard sportsbook models, such as specific player performance trends or weather conditions. The resulting probability can therefore appear higher or lower than typical sportsbook lines, depending on how the community interprets upcoming game dynamics. This difference provides an alternative view of expected outcomes for the first inning run market.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by which team scores the first run in the opening inning of the game, as officially recorded and reported by recognized sports news and league sources.