TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tampa Bay vs Baltimore: First Inning Run
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Tampa Bay vs Baltimore: First Inning Run

Volume:
$168,448

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 7:29 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$168,448
N/A
N/A
$118,193
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

In the Tampa Bay versus Baltimore baseball game scheduled for August 21, 2026, if either team manages to score during the first inning, this event is triggered. The outcome depends purely on early-game offensive performance without any impact from later innings.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the first inning run market, alongside a chart of historical pricing and current 24-hour volume of $153,311. This view shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the game’s opening frame, reflecting expectations about early scoring. The page updates continuously to display the top outcome and its probability, giving users insight into market sentiment for this specific betting segment without needing to visit multiple sources.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game. No subjective judgment is involved — the confirmed box score from official league sources determines the final settlement, ensuring a clear and objective resolution for all participants.

Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include last-minute changes to starting pitchers, weather delays or interruptions, and pre-game injury announcements. Any update affecting the likelihood of early scoring — such as a star pitcher being pulled or a rainout — may cause rapid price swings. Additionally, betting trends on Kalshi and momentum from related markets can influence trader sentiment, especially as the first pitch approaches.