TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Tampa Bay versus Baltimore baseball game scheduled for August 21, 2026, if either team manages to score during the first inning, this event is triggered. The outcome depends purely on early-game offensive performance without any impact from later innings.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game. No subjective judgment is involved — the confirmed box score from official league sources determines the final settlement, ensuring a clear and objective resolution for all participants.
Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include last-minute changes to starting pitchers, weather delays or interruptions, and pre-game injury announcements. Any update affecting the likelihood of early scoring — such as a star pitcher being pulled or a rainout — may cause rapid price swings. Additionally, betting trends on Kalshi and momentum from related markets can influence trader sentiment, especially as the first pitch approaches.