TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Gloucestershire
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Warwickshire vs Gloucestershire?

Volume:
$313,975

Warwickshire

 - Kalshi

Warwickshire - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 1:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Warwickshire

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$122,935
N/A
N/A
$83,631
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Gloucestershire

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Gloucestershire - Completed match?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
92¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Gloucestershire - Who wins the toss?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
39.7¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gloucestershire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$143,473
N/A
N/A
$87,115
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the T20 Blast cricket match between Warwickshire and Gloucestershire scheduled for July 5, 2026. Markets track the match winner, toss winner, and whether the match is completed under official playing conditions, with resolution based on ESPN Cricinfo as the authoritative source.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Warwickshire win and Gloucestershire win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's match winner market. The resolution logic is broken. Use Polymarket's match winner market instead, which clearly resolves based on ESPN Cricinfo's finalized result. Kalshi's toss winner and match completion markets are logically sound and can be used.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match winner market states both Warwickshire win and Gloucestershire win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No mechanism exists to distinguish between the two outcomes or handle ties, DLS, or cancellations.
  • Polymarket: Match winner resolves based on ESPN Cricinfo finalized result. Explicitly handles Super Over tiebreaks (winner declared), group-stage ties (50-50 resolution), DLS/DRS rulings (treated as ordinary wins), and cancellations/abandonment (50-50 resolution). Toss winner and match completion markets also clearly defined with ESPN Cricinfo as source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Warwickshire and Gloucestershire scheduled for July 5 2026 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the match outcome. If an official winner is declared by the governing body, the market resolves Yes for the winning team. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before play begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and an official winner is declared, the market resolves based on that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on a different mechanism than traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting lines, traders themselves determine prices through continuous buying and selling. This crowdsourced pricing often reflects real-time information and sharp money faster than sportsbooks adjust their odds. However, prediction market liquidity and regulatory availability vary by region, so direct comparison requires checking both your local sportsbook and the platforms hosting this market simultaneously.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Kalshi and Polymarket may also list slightly different outcome formulations—for instance, one focusing on the match winner and another on the toss result—leading to distinct probability distributions. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but until they do, you may see meaningful divergence between the two platforms on the same underlying event.

Team news—injuries, roster changes, or surprise inclusions—can shift odds significantly before the match begins. Weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions, recent form streaks, and head-to-head records all influence trader sentiment. Toss outcomes, if tracked separately, move instantly once announced. Live betting during the match itself can also create volatility as in-game momentum, wickets, and run rates become known, causing late repricing on any unresolved portions of this market.