TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a T20 Blast cricket match between Nottinghamshire and Leicestershire scheduled for July 10, 2026. Markets track the match winner, toss winner, and match completion status, with resolution tied to official ESPN Cricinfo records and competition playing conditions.
This market refers to the cricket match between Nottinghamshire and Leicestershire scheduled for July 10 2026 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution is based on the official winner declared by the governing body. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such an event occurs after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, markets resolve accordingly. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates distinct order books, user bases, and fee structures, which naturally produce price spreads. Polymarket and Kalshi may also track slightly different outcome definitions—for example, one focuses on the match winner while the other emphasizes the toss result. Regulatory frameworks, liquidity depth, and the timing of large trades can widen or narrow these gaps. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispricings and understand which outcome definition carries the most conviction among traders.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star players, and weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions. Toss outcome, early match momentum, and live scoring will drive intraday volatility. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move odds in the hours before play begins. Public sentiment shifts—such as viral social media discussion or expert commentary—can also shift trader positioning. Monitor official team social channels and cricket news outlets for roster changes or venue-specific factors that might influence either side's chances.