TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC
Volume:
$497,258
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC A-League soccer match scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets track whether Adelaide wins, Sydney wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Core resolution logic is unified across both platforms: match outcome determined by 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties. Postponement handling is consistent (markets remain open). Cancellation handling diverges slightly in outcome assignment but reflects different market design philosophies rather than a fundamental logic conflict.
Primary resolution logic:
Official A-League result as recorded on a-league.com.au for the February 14, 2026 match between Sydney FC and Adelaide United FCCore resolution logic:
- Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time, no penalties)
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Adelaide United FC wins, Sydney FC wins, or match ends in a draw
- If match is postponed: both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game: Kalshi resolves all three markets to Yes; Polymarket resolves Adelaide/Sydney to No and draw to Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the February 14, 2026 match is postponed, both Kalshi and Polymarket will keep all markets open until the match is completed on its rescheduled date. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Kalshi resolves all three outcome markets to Yes (treating cancellation as a non-event). Polymarket resolves Adelaide/Sydney win markets to No and the draw market to Yes. Traders should be aware of this divergence in cancellation protocol.
- Extra Time or Penalties: If the match reaches 90 minutes plus stoppage time with a draw and proceeds to extra time or penalties, resolution is based solely on the 90+stoppage result (a draw). Extra time and penalty outcomes are explicitly excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 14, 2026 (or the rescheduled date if postponed). If canceled with no makeup, resolution timing depends on platform cancellation protocol (Kalshi immediate, Polymarket conditional).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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