TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:32 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to how much "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds suggest a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts for the Street Fighter box office. While some analysts predicted a larger drop in viewership during the second weekend, this market indicates a higher probability of the film performing within a specific range. It’s important to remember that prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially incorporating information not readily available to or considered by traditional analysts. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies between the two, offering a unique perspective on potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcome ranges for the Street Fighter box office. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the market’s expectations. This creates a dynamic pricing model that is responsive to changing sentiment and data.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second weekend box office numbers for “Street Fighter” are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the actual reported gross revenue for the film’s second weekend in theaters. The specific outcome range that aligns with the reported figures will determine the winning shares and payout to traders. Resolution will occur shortly after the official numbers are released and verified, ensuring a timely and accurate settlement of the market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Early box office reports from the second weekend, particularly Friday and Saturday numbers, will be closely watched and could cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Critical reviews and social media buzz surrounding the film could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the film’s marketing or distribution, or even competing film releases, could also move the market. Any information that alters expectations about the Street Fighter box office performance has the potential to drive price fluctuations.
