TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC
Volume:
$507,686
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FA Cup match between Stoke City FC and Fulham FC scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Stoke City win, a Fulham FC win, or a draw, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms measure the same 90-minute + stoppage-time window and recognize the same three mutually exclusive outcomes; divergence exists only in cancellation edge-case handling, which is minor and platform-specific rather than outcome-affecting.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FA Cup records from The FA (thefa.com/competitions/thefacup) and final match statisticsCore resolution logic:
- Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Stoke City win, Fulham FC win, or draw (tie)
- Measurement point: final score at the end of the 90+stoppage period
- Postponement: markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed
- Cancellation with no rescheduled match: Polymarket win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi structure resolves Yes for any outcome
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation (No Rescheduled Date): Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, Stoke win market resolves No, Fulham win market resolves No. Kalshi: all three outcomes resolve Yes (catch-all structure). This is a minor platform-specific divergence in cancellation handling only.
- Extra Time and Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalties from resolution. Only the 90-minute + stoppage-time result counts.
- Stoppage Time Inclusion: Stoppage time awarded by the referee at the end of the 90-minute period is included in the resolution window.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final whistle at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 15, 2026 (or the rescheduled date if postponed). Markets remain open if the match is postponed and close only after the match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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