TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.7b
24H VOL:
$103,238,539
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,173,199,778
338,330
Markets across
33,339
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,209
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above 3.0%
- Kalshi
Above 3.0% - Kalshi
96%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
No volume data
Aug 26
Aug 26
Aug 27
Aug 27
Vol.
$0.0
·
Resolves Aug 31, 2026
Time left: 04d:02h:11m
$
This event tracks the performance of the Stealth model in terms of market share on OpenRouter for a specific week. Participants are assessing whether Stealth will achieve various predefined market share thresholds, reflecting its competitive position among other models during that period. The outcome depends entirely on the actual market share data reported after the week concludes.
The event evaluates whether the Stealth model achieves specific market share thresholds on OpenRouter for the week of August 24, 2026, as measured by model author. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold, ranging from above 3.0% to above 15.0%. All markets will resolve based on the OpenRouter Market Share data published at 10:00 AM ET on Monday, August 24, 2026. No affiliation or endorsement exists between Kalshi and OpenRouter; all trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners. The resolution of each market is contingent solely on whether the reported market share for Stealth meets or exceeds its respective threshold.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate models and long-term trends, this market captures rapid trader reactions to new information. The gap between these odds and analyst predictions can highlight areas of consensus or divergence in expectations about the weekly outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome priced at 40.0%. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of participants about which outcome is most likely to occur this week. Volume of $32,198 indicates the level of interest and liquidity among traders.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the officially reported weekly stealth market share figure, closing all positions and settling contracts according to the rules of Kalshi.