This event group covers a Ligue 1 professional soccer match between Stade Rennais FC 1901 and Lille OSC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the final outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference the same official source (Ligue 1 / governing body statistics) with consistent fallback to credible reporting consensus.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Ligue 1 statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based solely on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
Three possible outcomes are recognized: Lille OSC win, Stade Rennais FC 1901 win, or draw
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, win/loss markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
Match Cancellation (No Make-up): If the match is canceled with no make-up game: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Polymarket Lille win and Stade Rennais win markets resolve No. Kalshi's three-outcome structure implicitly treats cancellation as a non-event.
Official Statistics Delay: If Ligue 1 does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible sports reporting sources.
Scope Limitation: Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts; any goals or events in extra time or penalty shootouts are disregarded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 15, 2026, with official statistics or credible reporting consensus used as the settlement source within 2 hours of match end.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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