TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between St. Thomas (MN) Tommies and North Dakota Fighting Hawks scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this matchup, with different resolution structures across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a critical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (St. Thomas win and North Dakota win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the binary market logically unresolvable and creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the platform corrects the resolution rule. The contradiction means either outcome could be claimed as correct at settlement. Polymarket's winner-takes-all structure is logically sound and should be your reference market.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary winner-takes-all logic. St. Thomas win resolves to St. Thomas Tommies; North Dakota win resolves to North Dakota Fighting Hawks. Includes proper edge cases: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Logically contradictory resolution rule. Both St. Thomas win and North Dakota win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible settlement scenario. No edge case handling documented for postponement or cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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