TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 6:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for August 22, 2026. The focus is on whether either team manages to score during the first inning of the match. The outcome depends on early-game performance in this specific contest.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the St. Louis vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On sportsbooks, odds for the first-inning run market are typically set by professional oddsmakers who factor in historical trends and team statistics. Prediction markets, however, reflect real-time trader sentiment and can shift rapidly based on new information or betting patterns. This difference often leads to variations between the two, with prediction markets sometimes showing tighter spreads or unexpected movements driven by crowd participation. Traders should compare both sources to spot potential value or divergence in expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, as recorded by official scorekeepers and reported across major sports news outlets.
Injuries to key hitters or pitchers, weather delays affecting the start time, and last-minute lineup changes could all shift this market. Traders will also react to pre-game ceremony delays, umpire decisions that alter early-game momentum, and any sudden shifts in stadium conditions that impact batting performance in the first inning.