TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 10:19 AM EST
Kalshi
A Korea Baseball Organization (KBO) regular season game between the SSG Landers and Kia Tigers scheduled for July 1, 2026. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the matchup.
Resolution is based on the final result of the SSG Landers vs Kia Tigers KBO game scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, all markets resolve 50/50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction directly, which can reveal information gaps or contrarian views that traditional sportsbooks may not immediately price in. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value or where sharp traders are positioning differently than the betting public.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the last executed trade sets the current price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price directly reflects the probability that traders assign to the outcome, with higher prices indicating stronger confidence. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to real-time developments and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final result of the matchup as documented by authoritative sports sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The exact timing may shift slightly depending on when official results are published and verified.
Key catalysts for this market include team roster announcements, injury reports, recent performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and betting syndicates can shift trader sentiment as new insights emerge. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and momentum from recent wins or losses often influence how traders reassess probabilities. Breaking news about player availability or coaching changes can trigger sharp repricing, so monitoring team updates and sports media in the days leading up to the game is essential for staying ahead of market moves.