TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the exact final score of the Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC MLS soccer match on July 22, 2026. The outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the final score of the Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Extra time periods and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Each possible outcome corresponds to a specific final score, with resolution occurring when the match concludes under standard MLS rules. Own goals are credited to the team awarded the goal by the referee.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the collective beliefs of traders betting real money on outcomes. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at pricing niche or specific outcomes—such as exact final scores—because traders can express granular views without the sportsbook's built-in spread. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and crowd wisdom align or differ.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-matching, where buyers and sellers set bids and asks for each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any given scoreline reflects the probability traders assign to it; higher prices mean traders believe that outcome is more likely. You can place limit or market orders to buy or sell shares at your chosen price, and the market updates in real time as new trades execute. This mechanism ensures prices stay responsive to new information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the actual scoreline at the end of regulation play, verified against credible public sources covering the event. Traders who correctly predicted the exact final score will see their positions settle at full value, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the score is official and available through standard sports reporting channels.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift odds for specific scorelines. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and media coverage often influences trader positioning in the days leading up to kickoff. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form streaks are factors traders monitor closely. As the match date approaches, any official roster announcements or coaching decisions typically trigger repricing across all score outcomes. Real-time developments during the match itself will be reflected in this market's final settlement.