TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
Volume:
$277,545
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between South Dakota State Jackrabbits and St. Thomas (MN) Tommies scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads (-4.5, -5.5, -6.5), and total points over/under at three thresholds (148.5, 149.5, 150.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (South Dakota State win and St. Thomas win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating guaranteed profit regardless of game result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It is broken. Trade Polymarket's moneyline instead, which correctly resolves to the winning team's name. Spreads and totals on both platforms are logically sound and consistent.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market has both outcomes resolving to Yes. If South Dakota State wins: Yes. If St. Thomas wins: Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves Yes regardless of actual game outcome.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly differentiates outcomes. Resolves to 'South Dakota State Jackrabbits' if they win, or 'St. Thomas (MN) Tommies' if they win. Spreads and totals use standard threshold logic (e.g., St. Thomas -5.5 resolves Yes if they win by 6+, otherwise No).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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