TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 9:03 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SK Dinamo Tbilisi and FK Žalgiris Vilnius, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Dinamo Tbilisi" if SK Dinamo Tbilisi are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Žalgiris Vilnius" if FK Žalgiris Vilnius are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between SK Dinamo Tbilisi and FK Žalgiris Vilnius, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Dinamo Tbilisi" if SK Dinamo Tbilisi are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Žalgiris Vilnius" if FK Žalgiris Vilnius are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and real-money skin-in-the-game. Prediction markets can sometimes price outcomes more efficiently because participants directly profit from accuracy rather than volume. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp money is flowing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate demand for each team to score first, with prices updating continuously as new trades execute. Traders profit by correctly predicting which side will occur, with payouts determined by their entry price and the final outcome once the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the first goal during regulation play. Once the event is final and confirmed through established sports reporting, this market will settle to the winning team. No further trading occurs after resolution. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Several catalysts can shift odds before kickoff and during the match. Team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments will influence trader expectations about attacking intent and defensive vulnerability. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage can all trigger repricing. Weather conditions or pitch quality may favor one side's style of play. Once the match begins, early possession, shot attempts, and goalkeeper saves create real-time signals that traders react to instantly. Momentum swings and substitutions throughout the game will continue to move the market until the first goal is scored.