TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:08 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Sivasspor and Muglaspor, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sivasspor vs. Muglaspor match originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Sivasspor and Muglaspor, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sivasspor vs. Muglaspor match originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals’ beliefs about the most likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or subtle shifts in team dynamics.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s implied probability of that score occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders expressing their beliefs through their trading activity. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official exact score of the Sivasspor vs. Muglaspor match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Resolution will occur after the match concludes and the result is widely available from trusted sports news sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the payouts to winning shareholders in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Sivasspor or Muglaspor could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of different scores. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price movements. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, would also likely cause substantial shifts in the market.