TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the streaming performance of the song "Silver Sands Marina" by Kenny Chesney during its first week of release. The outcome depends on whether the song achieves specific streaming milestones within that timeframe. Data from a trusted metrics provider will determine the result.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Kenny Chesney's song "Silver Sands Marina" achieves various streaming thresholds during the week of September 25, 2026, to October 1, 2026. Multiple markets correspond to different streaming benchmarks, ranging from 50,000 to over 10 million streams. All markets resolve based on data reported by Luminate’s API at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday following the tracking week. Luminate serves as a neutral metrics provider and does not influence market outcomes. The U.S. is the sole territory considered for these streaming counts, with each market independently resolving to "Yes" if the specified threshold is surpassed, or "No" otherwise.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Often, this market demonstrates a unique perspective, potentially incorporating a wider range of factors than traditional analysis. If analysts predict a certain outcome with high confidence, but this market shows more uncertainty, it could indicate that traders believe other possibilities are more likely. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies or the inclusion of information not readily available to analysts, offering a valuable counterpoint to conventional wisdom.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, events, and overall market sentiment related to the Silver Sands Marina streams.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the total number of concurrent streams observed during the first week of broadcasts from the Silver Sands Marina. The exact number will be determined by publicly available data and verified against credible sources. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome was the actual result, as determined by this publicly verifiable data.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Announcements regarding featured content or special guests during the Silver Sands Marina streams could increase anticipated viewership. Unexpected technical difficulties or positive/negative publicity surrounding the marina could also impact trader sentiment. Major news events impacting the broader entertainment industry, or changes in streaming platform popularity, might also influence the market. Any information that alters perceptions of the likely stream numbers has the potential to shift prices.
